Falcons vs Colts: Berlin Showdown Prediction

Falcons vs Colts: NFL Berlin Game Preview

The NFL makes its way to Germany this weekend as the Atlanta Falcons (3-5) face off against the Indianapolis Colts (7-2) in a highly anticipated Week 10 matchup at Olympic Stadium in Berlin. This international showdown promises to be a game with significant playoff implications as both teams look to make their mark in their respective conferences.

Key Storylines

The biggest storyline heading into this game is the blockbuster trade that sent two-time All-Pro cornerback Sauce Gardner from the Jets to the Colts in exchange for two first-round picks and receiver AD Mitchell. Gardner, who played for Falcons defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich for his first three seasons in the league, is expected to make his Colts debut in this game. His presence will be crucial as he takes on Falcons star receiver Drake London, who had his third 100-yard game of the season last week against the Patriots.

Another key storyline is the battle of the backfields featuring two of the NFL's best running backs. Jonathan Taylor of the Colts and Bijan Robinson of the Falcons are two of just three players in the league with over 1,000 yards from scrimmage this season. The last time two players with those numbers met in Week 10 or earlier occurred when Marshall Faulk and LaDainian Tomlinson faced off in 2002.

Matchup Analysis

The Colts come into this game as the clear favorite, with a 6.5-point spread and a 7-2 record that places them among the AFC's elite. The offense has been exceptional this season, ranking in the top two of the league, powered by Taylor's running and veteran quarterback Daniel Jones's leadership. However, the offense had a rare hiccup last week against the Steelers, which could provide motivation to bounce back against an undermanned Falcons defense.

The Falcons, meanwhile, find themselves in a must-win situation with a 3-5 record. They need victories to stay in the playoff conversation in the competitive NFC. While they've been strong as underdogs this season (3-0 against the spread), they've struggled when favored (1-4). The offense features dangerous weapons in London and Robinson, but they've been hampered by kicking issues, as evidenced by John Parker Romo's missed extra point against the Patriots that would have tied the game.

Betting Information

The betting line favors the Colts by 6.5 points, with the over/under set at 48.5 points. The moneyline shows a significant disparity, with the Colts at -290 and the Falcons as +240 underdogs. Despite the Falcons' success as underdogs, many analysts predict a Colts victory in this matchup.

Where to Watch

The game will be broadcast on NFL Network with kickoff scheduled for 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 9, 2025. Fans can also stream the game on platforms like Fubo. For those unable to watch live, the game will be available on the CBS Sports App for following updates and highlights.

Final Prediction

While the Falcons have proven capable of covering the spread as underdogs, the combination of the Colts' high-powered offense, their newly acquired defensive weapon in Gardner, and the travel factor for the Falcons makes Indianapolis the likely victor. Look for a lower-scoring affair than the over/under would suggest, with the Colts' defense making enough stops to secure a victory in their NFL Germany debut.